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420,493

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 1AM-1:15AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 1:00 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 1:15 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 1AM-1:15AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 1AM-1:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:04h:29m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 1AM-1:15AM ET

Amount

$

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 1AM-1:15AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 4h 29m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T06:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T06:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the likelihood of crude oil increasing or decreasing in value. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $0. The total volume traded to date is $0. This information helps you understand market sentiment and track how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential influences. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions, risk tolerances, or access to unique data points. It's common to see this market anticipate trends before they are widely recognized by conventional analysis, or to assign different probabilities to various outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future price of crude oil. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders respond to new information and events, creating a constantly updated forecast. This allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of potential price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts between 1:00 AM and 1:15 AM Eastern Time on November 6, 2026, compared to the price at the start of the trading day. The direction of the price change—up or down—will determine the winning outcome in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, including reports on global economic growth, inflation, and inventory levels, will also be closely watched. Unexpected changes in OPEC+ production policies or significant disruptions to oil supply chains, such as those caused by natural disasters, could quickly shift market sentiment. Any news impacting global demand for oil, like major changes in China’s economic outlook, could also move this market.