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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:11h:12m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 11h 12m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T16:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T16:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of crude oil to move up or down during the specified timeframe. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to visualize how expectations have shifted over time. You can see the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to crude oil.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when unexpected events or sentiment shifts influence traders. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market expectations and potential areas of disagreement between expert opinions and collective predictions for the price of crude oil.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the crude oil price will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective judgment of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The implied probability of each outcome is derived from the contract prices, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for rapid adjustments to new information and changing expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether the price of crude oil, as reported by a widely recognized source, is higher or lower during the 11:15 AM - 11:30 AM ET window on November 6th. The final price will be compared to the opening price at 11:15 AM ET to determine whether the market settles as 'Crude Oil Up' or 'Crude Oil Down'.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ policy, are major catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any surprising news regarding oil inventories, refinery outages, or shifts in currency exchange rates could lead to price fluctuations and impact the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.