TOTAL VOLUME:

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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 29, 2026, 1:40 AM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 12:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:03h:25m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

Trade on Predict

Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 3h 25m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-05T05:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-05T05:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of crude oil to be up or down as of November 5th. You’ll find a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market—currently $0—and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This allows you to see how traders are reacting to news and events impacting oil prices, and to gauge the overall sentiment surrounding this particular outcome.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts are predicting a range of potential outcomes for crude oil prices, the prediction market provides a real-time, financially-motivated assessment of probabilities. This differs from polls or expert opinions, as traders put their money where their beliefs are, creating a unique signal. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aren’t always right, but they can offer a valuable, alternative data point when considering future price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 12:15 AM and 12:30 AM ET on November 5th. If the price is higher at 12:30 AM than at 12:15 AM, the ‘up’ outcome will be considered correct; otherwise, the ‘down’ outcome will prevail. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final verified result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are key catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and any significant weather events impacting oil infrastructure could influence trader sentiment and shift the odds in this market. Keep an eye on these developments for potential trading opportunities.