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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 29, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:11h:13m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 13m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-05T16:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-05T16:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time display of the odds, a price history chart showing how those probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $0. This information provides a snapshot of where traders currently believe the price is headed, and how conviction has changed.

Currently, the collective prediction from this market is being closely watched to see how it aligns with expert analysis. Often, prediction markets can offer a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst forecasts, as they represent a weighted average of many individual opinions expressed through actual trades. Discrepancies between this market and conventional wisdom can sometimes highlight overlooked factors or biases in either approach. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe as the event approaches.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower at the specified time. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario, driven by the collective intelligence of the crowd.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in the price of crude oil between 11:15 AM ET and 11:30 AM ET on November 5th. The final price will be compared to the opening price to determine if it went up or down. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on widely available data.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 5, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, changes in OPEC+ production policies, or surprising economic data releases (like inventory reports or GDP figures) could all trigger substantial price movements. Furthermore, any major shifts in global demand expectations, driven by factors like weather patterns or industrial activity, could also influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the fluctuations in this market.