TOTAL VOLUME:

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$1,905,404,943

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 8PM-8:15PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 8:15 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 8PM-8:15PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 8PM-8:15PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 19h:15m:09s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 8PM-8:15PM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 8PM-8:15PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19h 15m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-04T01:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-04T01:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0. The total volume traded to date is $0. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and make informed decisions about whether to buy or sell.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential unforeseen events. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when significant uncertainty surrounds the event. The market’s collective prediction can sometimes be a leading indicator, reacting more quickly to new information than slower-moving analyst reports.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be up or down by the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading in this market, and is updated constantly as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of crude oil between 8:00 PM and 8:15 PM ET on November 3rd. The direction of the price change – whether it goes up or down – will determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Unexpected geopolitical events in oil-producing regions, such as conflicts or political instability, could cause price swings. Major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or significant shifts in inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration, are likely to move this market. Any unforeseen disruptions to oil supply or changes in global economic outlook are key signals to watch.