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407,043

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3PM-3:15PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 3:15 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3PM-3:15PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3PM-3:15PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 10h:13m:36s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3PM-3:15PM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3PM-3:15PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 13m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T20:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T20:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a visual representation of these odds, along with the historical price action of the market itself. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential movement of crude oil prices leading up to the event.

Currently, the collective prediction from this market is being formed by traders on Predict. It’s interesting to compare these predictions to those made by financial analysts and traditional polls. Often, prediction markets can offer a different perspective, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd and potentially identifying insights that may not be immediately apparent in standard forecasts. While analyst forecasts are based on models and expert opinions, this market reflects what people are willing to put their money on, offering a unique signal about future price movements.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower at the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that the market assigns to the outcome, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood of the corresponding event occurring. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 3:00 PM and 3:15 PM ET on November 3, 2026. The direction of the price change – whether it goes up or down – will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the verified result shortly after the close of trading.

Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Nov 3, 2026. Major geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or changes in international relations, could cause substantial price swings. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand and supply, like inventory reports or manufacturing indices, will also be closely watched. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels or shifts in energy policy could also move the market. Finally, any significant weather events impacting oil infrastructure could influence trader sentiment.