TOTAL VOLUME:

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

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40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 3:15 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 17h:47m:56s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 47m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T20:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T20:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You'll also find the 24-hour trading volume displayed, which currently stands at $0. The total volume for this market is $0. This information allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity related to the direction of crude oil prices before Nov 3, 2026.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different view than many traditional analyst forecasts for crude oil. While some analysts predict a continued upward trend due to geopolitical factors, this market shows a more nuanced expectation, incorporating a wider range of potential outcomes. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, whereas this market represents the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. Comparing this market to those forecasts can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential price movements.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower by the specified time. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. Higher demand for 'up' contracts drives up their price, indicating a greater likelihood of a price increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 3:15 PM and 3:30 PM ET on November 3, 2026. The direction of the price change—whether it goes up or down—will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the verified result shortly after the close of trading.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions, would likely have a substantial impact. Major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or significant changes in inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration, are key factors that traders will be watching closely. Any surprise developments in these areas could lead to rapid price adjustments in this market.