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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-2PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 1:45 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 2:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-2PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-2PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 17h:25m:04s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-2PM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-2PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17h 25m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T18:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T18:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, providing a clear indication of where traders are placing their bets. You’ll also find a price history chart illustrating how sentiment has shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0. Total volume for this market is $0. This allows you to quickly assess market activity and understand the prevailing expectations surrounding future crude oil prices.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict offers a distinct perspective when compared to traditional analyst forecasts for crude oil. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates diverse opinions into a probability-based forecast. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can react more swiftly to new information and incorporate a wider range of factors than typical analyst reports. This difference highlights the potential value of considering prediction market odds alongside conventional analysis when evaluating the future direction of crude oil prices.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower on November 3rd. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements that represent a real-time assessment of the market's expectations. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism for the future direction of crude oil.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 1:45 PM ET and 2:00 PM ET on November 3rd. The market will determine whether the price moved up or down during this period, and that will be the final outcome of this market. The data will be sourced from publicly available financial news and data providers.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, such as supply disruptions or political instability, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like manufacturing indices or GDP growth), could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or major shifts in inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration, would likely cause substantial movement in this market. Any news impacting the global economic outlook will be closely watched by traders.