TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

events

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12AM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 11:45 PM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:05h:26m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
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N/A
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1d 5h 26m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-04T04:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-04T04:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how probabilities have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity around the future direction of crude oil prices. The dashboard is updated in real-time to reflect the latest trading activity.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide point estimates or ranges for the price of crude oil, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a probabilistic view of whether the price will be higher or lower at a specific point in time. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to faster incorporation of relevant data than traditional forecasts.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the future price of crude oil. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ expectations. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds displayed reflect the implied probability of the price going up or down, derived from the current market prices. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements and a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 11:45 PM and 12:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the price will be higher or lower during that timeframe, based on publicly available data from established financial sources.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are major catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global economic growth or demand for oil, can also have a substantial impact. Unexpected supply disruptions, like those caused by natural disasters or pipeline outages, are another key driver. Furthermore, shifts in investor sentiment or changes in currency exchange rates could influence trading activity and price movements in this market.