TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

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40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-12PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 11:45 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-12PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-12PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 14h:15m:52s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-12PM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
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Liquidity
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24h
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-12PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
14h 15m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T16:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T16:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, along with a price history chart illustrating how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This provides a comprehensive overview of how traders are positioning themselves on this market.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental factors like supply and demand reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential black swan events. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in times of high uncertainty, as traders weigh geopolitical risks, unexpected economic data, and even sentiment shifts. This difference in perspective can be a valuable signal for those seeking a more nuanced view of potential price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts as reported by a major financial exchange during the specified timeframe of 11:45 AM to 12:00 PM ET on November 3rd. The market will determine whether the price moved up or down from its current level at that time.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production cuts or increases would likely have a substantial impact. Geopolitical events, such as escalating tensions in major oil-producing regions, could also cause price volatility. Furthermore, major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese manufacturing data or US GDP figures), and shifts in the US dollar’s strength will be closely watched. Any surprise inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) could also trigger movement.