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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11AM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 27, 2026, 10:45 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 14h:14m:01s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11AM ET

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
Open Interest
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-11AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
14h 14m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T15:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T15:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the implied probability of the price of crude oil increasing or decreasing between 10:45AM and 11:00AM ET on November 3rd. You’ll find a live feed of current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced in different outcomes over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded to date is $0, providing insight into overall market interest. This allows you to see how sentiment shifts as new information becomes available.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on complex models and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Comparing this market’s implied probabilities to those offered by financial news outlets and expert predictions can reveal interesting insights into market sentiment and potential blind spots in conventional analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing expectations, providing a real-time assessment of potential price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, as reported by a major financial data provider, is higher or lower at 11:00 AM ET on November 3rd than it was at 10:45 AM ET on the same day. The final price difference will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly, reflecting the direction of the price change.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inventory levels, could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, any surprise announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels or changes in energy policy could have a substantial impact. Even weather patterns, especially those affecting major transportation routes or oil infrastructure, could move this market.