Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 9PM-9:15PM ET? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 9PM-9:15PM ET
Start: 2026-10-27T01:00:55.001Z
End: 2026-11-03T02:15:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T02:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T02:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time display of the odds, a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume for this market is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to future oil price movements.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders. This can lead to divergences in expectations, particularly when unexpected events or shifts in sentiment occur. It’s common to see this market react more quickly to new information than consensus analyst estimates, offering a potentially valuable signal for those following oil price trends.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 9:00 PM and 9:15 PM Eastern Time on November 2nd. A price increase during that period will result in a positive outcome for the 'Up' contracts, while a price decrease will result in a positive outcome for the 'Down' contracts.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Major geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in OPEC+ policy, are key catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inventory levels, could also drive price movements. Additionally, weather events that impact oil production or transportation, such as hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market.

Will crude oil be up or down?

Carney’s Push to Fast-Track Oil Pipeline Faces Mounting Indigenous Lawsuits

Treasury Yields Extend Past Month’s Slide as Oil Prices Drop

Gulf Arab Oil Giants Are Exporting Crude at Pre-War Rates Again

Binance completes latest proof of reserves as it works to restore assets, withdrawals after record hack

Gold Rebounds as Investors Seek Cash

US Natural Gas Falls With Oil as Hope for Iran Talks Reemerges

Gold’s Faded Haven Allure Hinges on Deficit, Inflation Fears

Vitol CEO Sees Oil Demand Dropping 3 Million Barrels a Day

US Stocks Advance as AI-Led Selloff Eases, Oil Prices Plunge

Oil Prices Retreat, Apple Results on Deck