TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

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$323,326,361

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 26, 2026, 7:15 AM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 7:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$436
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 7:30 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Result
predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T12:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T12:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price movement tracks the implied probability of the price going up or down, as determined by traders’ buy and sell orders. It also displays the current price, 24-hour volume of $0, and total volume of $0. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how the market is perceiving the likelihood of different outcomes, allowing participants to quickly assess the current state of play and identify potential trading opportunities related to this market.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential catalysts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when unexpected events or sentiment shifts occur. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market expectations and potential areas of mispricing for the crude oil price movement.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective judgment of all participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability of the outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood of the price moving in that direction. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 7:15 AM and 7:30 AM Eastern Time on November 2, 2026. A price increase will result in a positive outcome for the 'up' contracts, while a price decrease will result in a positive outcome for the 'down' contracts. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are major catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global economic growth and demand, can also have a substantial impact. Unexpected inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) or shifts in currency exchange rates, especially the US dollar, could influence the crude oil price movement. Furthermore, major weather events impacting oil infrastructure or transportation could also trigger price fluctuations.