TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 26, 2026, 4:45 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$2
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
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Liquidity
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24h
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T21:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T21:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely direction of crude oil prices leading up to the event. The dashboard is designed to give you a quick understanding of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating shifts in sentiment more quickly. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can be more responsive to unexpected events or changes in perceived risk. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts as reported by a major financial data provider at 4:45 PM - 5:00 PM ET on November 2nd. The direction of the price change – whether it’s up or down from the price at the start of the trading day – will determine the winning outcome in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, such as disruptions to supply in the Middle East, could cause prices to spike. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like manufacturing indices or Chinese economic growth figures), could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels or changes in US oil inventories will likely be closely watched and could lead to substantial shifts in the market.