TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

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2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

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40,551

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4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 26, 2026, 11:45 AM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$101
100%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 00h:35m:13s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
35m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T16:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T16:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of crude oil to be up or down as of November 2, 11:45AM-12PM ET. You’ll find a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is evolving.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when unexpected events occur or when there's significant uncertainty surrounding the future price of crude oil. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential blind spots in conventional analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective forecast of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely track the evolving expectations of traders, providing a real-time assessment of probability. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding potential price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts between 11:45 AM ET and 12:00 PM ET on November 2, 2024. The final price will be determined by publicly available data and verified against established benchmarks, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of whether the price moved up or down during that timeframe.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, and shifts in global economic growth forecasts are all potential catalysts. Furthermore, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and demand estimates from the International Energy Agency (IEA) can influence trader sentiment. Any surprise data releases or unforeseen disruptions to supply chains could also lead to substantial price movements and shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.