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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 10PM-10:15PM ET
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Will crude oil prices go up or down?

Oct 26, 2026, 10:00 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 10:15 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 10PM-10:15PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 10PM-10:15PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 00h:39m:19s

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 10PM-10:15PM ET

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 2, 10PM-10:15PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
39m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T03:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-03T03:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of crude oil to be up or down. You’ll find a real-time price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0. The 24-hour volume is $0, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to quickly gauge market interest and how opinions are shifting leading up to the event. The dashboard also shows the highest and lowest prices traded, providing a historical perspective on price movements.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market anticipate shifts before they are reflected in mainstream analyst expectations, offering a potentially valuable signal for those following the crude oil price.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating an implied probability of each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price changes. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations, distinct from static polls or surveys. The current market price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 9:30 PM ET and 10:15 PM ET on November 2nd. A positive change indicates the price went up, while a negative change indicates the price went down. The final price will be sourced from publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, or significant shifts in global economic growth forecasts are all potential catalysts. Additionally, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and demand projections could impact trader sentiment. Any unforeseen disruptions to oil supply, such as weather events or pipeline outages, could also contribute to price volatility and move this market considerably. Monitoring these events will be key to understanding potential shifts in the crude oil price.