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Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q2 2026
kalshi

What will the credit card delinquency rate be in Q2 2026?

Volume:
$6,014

Above 2.86%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.86% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 11:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.86%

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,582
N/A
N/A
$2,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.87%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$830
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.91%

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
$902
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.88%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.90%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.89%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.92%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.93%

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.95%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.94%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.96%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.97%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.98%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The credit card delinquency rate measures the proportion of credit card accounts that are past due beyond their grace period. Tracking this metric helps analysts gauge consumer financial health and potential risks in the banking sector. In Q2 2026, attention will focus on whether this rate exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

This set of markets collectively evaluates whether the credit card delinquency rate in Q2 2026 exceeds various incremental percentage thresholds starting from 2.86% up to 2.98%. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported delinquency rate for that quarter is above its respective threshold, with successive markets requiring progressively higher rates to resolve positively. The structure creates a granular spectrum of possible outcomes, allowing participants to assess the precise level of delinquency risk in the consumer credit market for that period.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Q2 2026 credit card delinquency market on Kalshi tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $5,701. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different delinquency rate outcomes for that period, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative economic data releases that clearly define the credit card delinquency rate for the relevant period, closing the market based on observable facts.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic reports such as consumer confidence indexes, changes in interest rates by central banks, widespread shifts in consumer spending habits, or significant policy moves affecting credit card issuers. Any unexpected surge in defaults or improvements in repayment trends would also strongly influence trader sentiment.