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402,751

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Costco Monthly Foot Traffic in August
kalshi

What will Costco's foot traffic be in August?

Volume:
$18,400

Above 93

 - Kalshi

Above 93 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 93

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,543
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,469
N/A
N/A
$1,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 94

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
$1,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
$799
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$386
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

These markets track Costco's customer traffic performance in August 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether foot traffic measurements exceed specific thresholds, reflecting growth or decline relative to historical data.

Kalshi

All markets share a common framework for determining outcomes based on Carbon Arc's reported Costco Monthly Foot Traffic index for August 2026. The index quantifies year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal traffic to the prior year's August. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 93 to 103), and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds its respective threshold. Outcomes are determined solely by the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026; any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not alter the result. The index calculation normalizes for variables such as seasonality, weather, and holidays, using mobile location data from over 200 million devices matched to the same calendar days as the prior year. Daily updates to the panel ensure timely resolution, with all markets settling based on consistent methodological standards.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Costco August foot traffic market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $65. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different foot traffic outcomes for Costco during August, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific event.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a different perspective because they are driven by real-time trader sentiment rather than institutional research. While analysts may issue detailed reports based on historical trends and projections, this market incorporates the collective guesswork of many participants, sometimes showing higher or lower confidence in certain outcomes.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the foot traffic data for August is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final numbers will be compared against the market’s defined categories to determine which outcome is correct, closing all positions based on the officially recorded results.

News about Costco’s promotions, supply chain updates, or consumer spending trends could shift this market. Additionally, broader economic reports—such as retail sales data or consumer confidence indexes—may influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected events like weather disruptions or public health developments could also cause rapid price movements as participants reassess their expectations.