TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election, focusing on specific candidate victories. It will resolve based on the official election results, determining whether any of the named candidates secure the position of mayor in the community of Coquitlam.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if any of the specified candidates—Craig Hodge, Madhavee Inamdar, or Trish Mandewo—are officially declared the winner of the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election. Each candidate’s market is subject to accelerated resolution through a consensus of media calls, meaning that if multiple credible news sources report the same candidate as the winner, the market may close early without waiting for the full official certification. The resolution hinges on verified election outcomes, with media consensus serving as a mechanism to expedite the process when clear results emerge prior to formal announcement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture a snapshot of stated voter intentions, this market aggregates the informed opinions of traders who have skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise from factors like poll weighting, sampling bias, and the ability of traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including fundraising data, candidate performance, and local political dynamics. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than polls.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each candidate, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that candidate winning. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time forecast of the election’s outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the City of Coquitlam following the mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes, as declared by the official results, will be considered the winner and determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts shortly after the official announcement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential figures or organizations, unexpected shifts in fundraising totals, and significant events during the campaign – such as debates or policy announcements – could all cause price movements. Changes in public opinion, as reflected in new polling data, would also likely influence trading activity. Finally, any unforeseen events affecting the candidates or the election process itself could lead to substantial shifts in the market’s probabilities.
