TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Copper price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Copper price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$51,825

Above $6.66

 - Kalshi

Above $6.66 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $6.66

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,930
N/A
N/A
$3,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.48

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,328
N/A
N/A
$5,260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.45

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,996
N/A
N/A
$4,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.69

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,851
N/A
N/A
$1,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.63

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,810
N/A
N/A
$2,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.54

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,649
N/A
N/A
$1,445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.57

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
$1,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.60

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.51

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.36

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.33

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.21

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.30

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.39

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.42

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.72

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,968
N/A
N/A
$4,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.93

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,620
N/A
N/A
$2,761
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.84

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,982
N/A
N/A
$2,982
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.75

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,161
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.90

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
$1,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.08

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.78

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.05

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.81

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of copper at a specific moment, reflecting immediate market conditions influenced by supply, demand, and global economic factors. The outcome depends on whether the price exceeds a set threshold at the exact closing time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the price exceeds any specified threshold (ranging from $6.39 to $7.56 USD/Lbs), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For instance, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If data for the specified time is unavailable, the most recently published data is used to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the copper price market tracks the current implied probabilities for the price of copper on September 18, 2026. You’ll find the current best estimate, along with a history of how those probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $38,462, and the total volume traded to date, which is $51,825. This provides a clear view of market activity and sentiment surrounding the future price of copper.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. These forecasts are often compared to those from financial analysts and industry experts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as analysts may rely on traditional modeling techniques while this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. Comparing this market’s implied probabilities to external forecasts can offer valuable insights into the potential range of outcomes for the copper price.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future copper price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perspectives on the potential price of copper in 2026. The current market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement price will be based on the copper price as determined by the London Metal Exchange (LME) at 5:00 PM EDT on September 18, 2026. The contract will pay out $1 per share if the actual copper price matches the market’s predicted price, and less if it does not. Traders should monitor the LME for the official settlement price to understand the final outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 18, 2026. Major economic indicators, such as global GDP growth and industrial production data, will play a role. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes or disruptions to copper supply chains, could also cause price fluctuations. Changes in government policies related to infrastructure spending or environmental regulations impacting copper mining could also move the market. Unexpected shifts in demand from key sectors like construction and electric vehicles will be closely watched by traders in this market.