TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise closing price of copper at a specific moment, reflecting immediate market conditions rather than trends or broader economic indicators.
The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the price exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For instance, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM captures trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If the specified source agency does not publish data for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the outcome.
Currently, it's important to note that analyst forecasts for the copper price on Sep 14, 2026 vary considerably. Some anticipate continued price increases due to supply chain constraints and growing demand from renewable energy sectors, while others predict a potential downturn based on macroeconomic factors. This market allows you to compare the wisdom of the crowd – as expressed through trading – against these expert opinions. If the market odds significantly diverge from the consensus of analysts, it could suggest that traders have access to information or insights not yet reflected in traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing their belief about whether the copper price will be above or below a certain level on Sep 14, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. As more traders buy contracts predicting a price increase, the price of those contracts rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of high-grade copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) at 5:00 PM EDT on that date will determine whether contracts predicting a price above or below a certain level will pay out. The final price will be sourced from publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of copper and, consequently, this market. Major economic reports, particularly those related to manufacturing activity in China (a key copper consumer), could trigger price swings. Geopolitical events, such as disruptions to copper mining operations in major producing countries like Chile or Peru, could also influence supply and demand. Unexpected changes in global monetary policy or shifts in investor sentiment towards industrial metals could also move this market substantially before Sep 14, 2026.