TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Copper price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Copper price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$25,371

Above $6.72

 - Kalshi

Above $6.72 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $6.72

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,644
N/A
N/A
$2,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.66

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,813
N/A
N/A
$675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.69

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,306
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.63

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
$751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.60

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
$606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.57

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
$466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.54

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.51

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.48

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.45

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.42

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.39

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.75

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,244
N/A
N/A
$4,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.26

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$670
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.81

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
$544
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.78

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.84

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$508
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.29

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.87

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.11

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.23

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.05

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.17

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.35

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of copper at a specific moment, reflecting real-time commodity market conditions influenced by supply, demand, and geopolitical factors.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper at 5:00 PM EDT on October 09, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price, and if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the 1-minute candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (i.e., the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM). If the specified data source does not publish a price for the given time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the copper price market tracks the current price, trading volume of $25,371, and 24-hour volume of $13,322. You can view a price history chart to see how the market has moved over time, along with the implied probability of different price outcomes. This provides a visual representation of where traders currently believe the copper price will land on October 09, 2026. The dashboard is updated continuously as new trades are placed, offering a real-time view of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi. These odds are often compared to analyst forecasts and polls regarding the future price of copper. However, it's important to note that prediction markets can sometimes diverge from traditional forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of information and incentives. This market allows individuals to express their beliefs and profit from accurate predictions, potentially leading to a more accurate overall forecast than relying solely on expert opinions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, and trades occur when they match. The price reflects the probability of the copper price being above or below a certain level on the resolution date. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own expectations, creating a dynamic and efficient market for forecasting the future copper price. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the closing price of the COMEX High Grade Copper contract (HG) on the date and time specified. This price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider and will serve as the basis for determining winning and losing trades in this market. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price shortly after the resolution date.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major economic indicators, such as global GDP growth, inflation rates, and industrial production data, will all influence the demand for copper. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes, political instability in major copper-producing countries, and supply chain disruptions, could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in global monetary policy or significant shifts in the energy sector (as copper is used in renewable energy technologies) could also impact this market. Monitoring these events is crucial for understanding potential price movements.