TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Copper price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
kalshi

Copper price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$268
Volume 24h:
$129N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$173
25%

Above $6.57

 - Kalshi

Above $6.57 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 04d:00h:33m

Will the copper close price be above 6.57 USD/Lbs on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 64¢ buys you 156 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $156 | Net Profit: $56 Multiplier: 1.56x | ROI: 56% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $6.57

Trade
63%
14%
Yes 64¢No 40¢
4¢
N/A
$28
31%
N/A
$18
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.60

56%
17%
Yes 57¢No 47¢
4¢
N/A
$67
30%
N/A
$67
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.63

47%
2%
Yes 49¢No 55¢
4¢
N/A
$38
52%
N/A
$38
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.72

28%
1%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
N/A
$85
100%
N/A
$0
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.87

7%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.39

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.42

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.45

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.48

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.51

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.54

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.66

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.69

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.75

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.78

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.81

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.84

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.90

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.93

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.96

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $6.99

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $7.02

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $7.05

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $7.08

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
kalshi

Above $7.11

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 33m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of copper at a specific future moment, reflecting real-time commodity valuation at that instant. The outcome depends entirely on whether the price exceeds a set threshold when markets close on the specified date and time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for copper on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. If the price exceeds any of the specified thresholds—ranging from $6.39 to $7.56—the corresponding market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and the closing price represents the value at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data for the exact timestamp is unavailable, the most recent published data is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the November 2026 copper price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of copper being above or below a certain level. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has priced in different outcomes over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $129. Total volume for this market is $268. This allows you to see how actively traders are participating and how sentiment is shifting as we approach Nov 6, 2026.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often provides a different perspective than individual expert opinions. Do analysts generally predict copper prices will rise or fall by November 2026? How confident are they in that prediction? Comparing those answers to the probabilities reflected in this market can reveal interesting insights into market sentiment and potential discrepancies between expert forecasts and crowd-sourced predictions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on whether the copper price will close above or below a specified level on Nov 6, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants regarding the likelihood of different outcomes, making it a dynamic and real-time indicator of market expectations. The current price indicates the probability of the copper price being above a certain threshold.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome determined by the closing price of copper on that date at 5:00 PM EST. The final price will be verified against credible public reporting of the London Metal Exchange (LME) official closing price. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual copper price at the time of resolution. The market's outcome is based on a publicly available and widely recognized benchmark for copper pricing.

Several factors could significantly impact the price of copper and, therefore, this market. Major economic indicators, such as global GDP growth, inflation rates, and industrial production data, will play a role. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes, political instability in major copper-producing countries, and supply chain disruptions, could also cause volatility. Unexpected changes in demand from key sectors like construction, manufacturing, and electric vehicles will also influence prices. Any news related to major copper mines or significant shifts in global inventory levels could move this market.