TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the closing price of copper on a specific date and time using standardized exchange contracts. The outcome depends on whether the price exceeds various thresholds, reflecting predictions about copper market performance at that moment.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCU6 contract on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by delivery month, not expiration date, and prices are rounded to the nearest cent. The closing price represents the end of the minute preceding the specified timestamp. If data is unavailable at the exact time, the most recent published price determines the outcome.
Currently, this market’s implied probability—based on trader activity—can be compared with analyst forecasts from major financial institutions. While analysts may issue target prices or scenario analyses, the prediction market reflects aggregated trader expectations, often reacting faster to news or shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of market expectations for copper price movements.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final copper price at the exact time specified will be the basis for settlement, removing ambiguity and ensuring a clear, objective resolution for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major announcements from copper-producing countries, changes in global supply chains, shifts in electric vehicle demand projections, or unexpected macroeconomic developments. Natural disasters affecting mining operations or new technological breakthroughs could also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the July 31, 2026 deadline.