TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the copper futures price at a specific time on July 13, 2026. Copper is an industrial metal essential for construction, electrical wiring, and manufacturing, making its price sensitive to economic growth expectations and industrial demand. The settlement uses the CCN6 contract's closing price at 5:00 PM EDT.
Settlement is determined by comparing the 1-minute candlestick close price for copper using the CCN6 contract on July 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT against multiple price thresholds ranging from $5.60 to $6.38 USD per pound, each in $0.02 increments. The settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The close price represents the final price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives rather than consensus estimates. Traders in this market are directly rewarded for accuracy, which can surface insights that surveys or published reports miss. Comparing the odds here to major commodity analysts' price targets reveals where the market is more bullish or bearish, and those gaps sometimes signal emerging data or sentiment shifts that haven't yet reached mainstream forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges or outcomes. Each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, and the price you see is the last executed trade. As new information arrives—economic data, supply reports, or geopolitical events—traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the price in real time to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. Once the event occurs and the copper price is verifiable from established market data, the resolution is finalized and traders' positions settle. Until that moment, you can continue trading based on your own forecast and any new developments that might shift the market's view.
Major economic data—inflation reports, manufacturing activity, and central bank policy decisions—typically drive copper prices and will influence this market. Geopolitical tensions affecting mining regions, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in global demand from construction or manufacturing can all trigger sharp moves. Currency fluctuations, particularly a stronger or weaker US dollar, also matter since copper is priced in dollars globally. Watching these catalysts helps traders anticipate where the market might shift before resolution.