TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Copper price on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Copper price on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$5,453

above $6.22

 - Kalshi

above $6.22 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $6.22

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
$1,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.18

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$1,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.24

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,064
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.20

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.14

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$137
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.16

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $5.92

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $5.94

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $5.98

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.02

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.04

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.06

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.10

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.12

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $5.96

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.08

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $6.28

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
No
kalshi

above $6.26

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$180
Settled
No
kalshi

above $6.32

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

above $6.30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

above $6.38

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

above $6.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

above $5.60

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $5.62

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the copper futures price at a specific moment on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT using the CCN6 contract. Copper is an industrial metal whose price reflects global economic activity, manufacturing demand, and supply dynamics. The settlement uses the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick at the specified time.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by comparing the 1-minute candlestick close price for copper (CCN6 contract) on July 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT against multiple price thresholds ranging from $5.60 to $6.38 USD per pound, each in $0.02 increments. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. The close price represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the copper price market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction on the copper price market. The interface displays current trader sentiment, allowing you to monitor how the market is pricing the likelihood of different copper price outcomes as the July 2026 event date approaches. You can review trading activity and shifts in market positioning to understand how participants are positioning themselves ahead of the resolution date.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and collective trader judgment rather than individual expert opinions. In this market, traders are directly betting on copper's price at a specific moment, which can incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than published analyst reports. Comparing the odds here to consensus forecasts from commodity analysts and financial institutions can reveal where the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to expert consensus.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different copper price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. As new information emerges or market conditions shift, traders adjust their positions, and the prices update in real time to reflect the evolving consensus on where copper will trade at the specified time.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the copper price at that specific moment becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by where copper is trading at the designated time, confirmed through established commodity price reporting. Once the event occurs and the price is officially recorded, this market will settle based on which outcome bracket the actual price falls into.

Major catalysts for copper price movement include shifts in global economic growth expectations, changes in mining supply or production disruptions, central bank policy decisions affecting currency valuations, and demand signals from construction and manufacturing sectors. Geopolitical tensions affecting major copper-producing regions, technological shifts in renewable energy adoption, and inflation data can all influence trader positioning. Additionally, broader commodity market trends, inventory reports, and unexpected supply shocks closer to the resolution date may trigger significant repricing in this market.