TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise closing price of copper at a specific moment, reflecting immediate market conditions influenced by supply, demand, and global economic factors. The outcome depends solely on whether the price exceeds a defined threshold at the exact settlement time.
The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper on August 31, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If the price exceeds any of the specified thresholds—ranging incrementally from $6.60 to $7.38 USD/Lbs—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places and determined by the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available published data is used to resolve the market.
While traditional analyst forecasts may suggest different directions for copper prices, this market provides a unique aggregate view of trader expectations. On Kalshi, the current odds reflect a consensus that can diverge from or align with expert predictions, depending on recent supply-demand news, inventory reports, or macroeconomic signals influencing copper valuation.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official commodity exchanges and reputable financial news sources to confirm the closing price of copper on that day, which determines whether the contract settles for the 'yes' or 'no' outcome.
Several signals could shift this market in the coming months, including changes in global copper supply due to mining disruptions, shifts in demand from key industries like technology or construction, and broader economic factors such as interest rate decisions or inflation data. Geopolitical tensions or policy changes affecting trade routes may also cause rapid movements in trader sentiment.