TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of copper prices at a specific future date and time, resolving based on whether the price exceeds various predetermined thresholds. It reflects expectations about supply, demand, and economic factors influencing copper markets without involving complex trading mechanics.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCU6 contract on August 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by delivery month rather than expiration date to align with official exchange standards. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM). If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated view of active traders who bet money on the outcome. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on models and trends, this market captures a more immediate, price-driven consensus that can diverge based on recent news, inventory data, or geopolitical developments affecting supply and demand dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual copper price at the specified time, closing all positions based on the confirmed data without reference to any internal platform mechanisms or external comparisons.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including changes in global copper inventories, shifts in manufacturing demand from major economies, trade policy announcements, or supply disruptions from key mining regions. Additionally, commodity exchange price fluctuations, currency movements, and macroeconomic indicators may influence trader sentiment and drive volatility in the run-up to Aug 24, 2026.