TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$35,566

Above $6.57

 - Kalshi

Above $6.57 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $6.57

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,272
N/A
N/A
$3,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.54

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,018
N/A
N/A
$1,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.45

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
$763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.48

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.51

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
$703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.42

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$797
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.39

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.60

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,169
N/A
N/A
$6,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.90

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,310
N/A
N/A
$2,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.87

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,163
N/A
N/A
$2,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.63

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.66

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,026
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.69

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
$717
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.81

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.72

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.78

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$228
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.84

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$243
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.23

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.26

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.93

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.96

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.02

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $7.05

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event determines whether the price of copper will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment in the future, reflecting potential market movements and investor sentiment around that time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for the CCU6 copper contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 21, 2026. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by delivery month rather than expiration date, and prices are rounded to two decimal places. The closing price represents the final price of the minute ending at the specified timestamp. If data is unavailable for the exact time, the most recent published price is used. Any market exceeding its specified threshold resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of immediate market sentiment and short-term expectations, which can diverge from longer-term analyst forecasts that weigh macroeconomic trends, supply-demand balances, and geopolitical risks. Traders may react more quickly to news, while analysts typically incorporate broader economic data into their projections.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks, with the current odds reflecting the aggregate assessment of all active traders. The platform updates prices based on order book depth and recent trading activity, allowing for dynamic adjustments as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual copper price at the specified time, removing speculation and aligning the market result with real-world data.

Key signals that could shift this market include changes in global copper supply due to mining disruptions, shifts in demand from major industries like technology or construction, and macroeconomic announcements affecting commodity markets. Additionally, geopolitical developments, inventory reports, and currency fluctuations may influence trader sentiment and drive volatility in the coming months.