TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses whether the price of copper will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment, reflecting potential influences from supply dynamics, technological advancements, and geopolitical factors affecting metal demand and production.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of a 1-minute candlestick for the CCU6 copper contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 17, 2026. The settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to two decimal places, with the candlestick close defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may publish reports based on models and historical data, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who can react instantly to new information. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially around key economic announcements or supply chain updates that affect copper demand and pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official commodity exchanges and widely recognized financial sources to validate the final copper price. The mechanism ensures an objective, transparent resolution process that aligns with real-world market data at the specified time.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including changes in global copper supply due to mining disruptions, shifts in demand from key industries like technology or construction, and policy moves affecting trade or tariffs. Additionally, macroeconomic indicators such as interest rate decisions or currency fluctuations may influence copper prices. Any unexpected geopolitical developments or inventory reports could also cause rapid movements in market sentiment.