TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses whether the price of copper will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment, reflecting potential influences from supply dynamics, technological demand, and macroeconomic factors affecting metal markets.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of a one-minute candlestick for the CCU6 copper contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to two decimal places, with the candlestick close defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of where copper prices might head. While analysts may incorporate long-term supply-demand models, traders on Kalshi react to fresh news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments in real time, which can create noticeable divergence from consensus estimates.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual copper price at the specified time, removing any ambiguity about the result based on widely accepted sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key inventory reports from major exchanges, unexpected supply disruptions, changes in central bank monetary policy affecting commodity demand, and geopolitical developments influencing trade flows. Any sudden shift in these factors may cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their positions on Kalshi in response to new information.