TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the closing price of copper using the CCU6 contract at a specific time on August 07, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the price exceeds various thresholds, with settlement based on standardized exchange procedures for contract months and rounding.
All markets resolve based on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCU6 contract on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by delivery month, not expiration date, and prices are rounded to the nearest cent. If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published price is used. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise 'No.'
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term supply-demand models and macroeconomic indicators, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from institutional outlooks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book system where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks. The displayed probability represents the best available price at any moment, adjusted for supply and demand. Traders can place contracts at market or set limit orders, influencing the current implied chance as volume accumulates.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing copper price from a recognized exchange will serve as the reference point. The contract settles automatically based on that verified figure, closing all positions accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including updates to global copper inventories, changes in Chinese or U.S. manufacturing demand, trade policy announcements, and energy price fluctuations. Natural disasters affecting mining regions or new technological breakthroughs in recycling also have the potential to influence trader sentiment and shift odds meaningfully as Aug 7, 2026 approaches.