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Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 22, 2026
kalshi

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 22, 2026

Volume:
$707

At least 1760K

 - Kalshi

At least 1760K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 1760K

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1770K

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1750K

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1740K

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1810K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1790K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1830K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1780K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1800K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1820K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1840K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This tracks predictions about the number of people continuing unemployment benefit claims in the U.S. for a specific week in 2026. The data comes from official government reports, reflecting ongoing economic conditions and labor market trends during that period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims figure for the week ending August 22, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from at least 1740K to at least 1840K claims). If the published advance figure meets or exceeds the threshold for that market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only the advance figure first published for the specified week is used—subsequent revisions in following weeks do not affect resolution. The outcome depends entirely on whether the reported number reaches the predetermined level for each individual market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the continuing jobless claims market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the weekly U.S. continuing jobless claims figure. It shows the current implied probability of different claim levels, along with 24-hour volume of $556. This gives traders a live view of market expectations for the week ending Aug 22, 2026, updating as new economic data or sentiment shifts emerge.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current odds reflecting aggregated bets on whether claims will be above or below the target level. The market uses a binary outcome structure, where the price corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring, adjusted for liquidity and open interest from active participants.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official U.S. labor department data for the week ending Aug 22, 2026 is released and verified against credible public sources. The final figure will settle the market based on whether it meets the defined claim level, closing all positions at that point.

Key signals include upcoming employment reports, Fed policy announcements, and geopolitical developments that affect U.S. labor conditions. Any revision to prior week claims, major economic shocks, or shifts in hiring trends could cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch for early market whispers or survey data that hint at larger labor market weakness or strength before official numbers are published.