TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
polymarket

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Volume:
$25,546

Ryan Fazio

 - Polymarket

Ryan Fazio - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 10:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ryan Fazio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Timothy Wilcox

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$51,599
$6,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erin Stewart

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$52,902
$5,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Betsy McCaughey

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$52,432
$1,674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Harry Arora

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$52,877
$812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate Q

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate U

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate W

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate Y

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary election for Connecticut Governor. On Polymarket, Ryan Fazio commands 91.6% probability as the leading contender, while Timothy Wilcox holds 1.4%. The market will resolve based on the official results announced by the Connecticut Republican Party following the primary election. Watch the August 11, 2026 primary vote to determine the Republican nominee.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate private information, campaign momentum, and fundraising data that public polls may lag. While polls measure voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants who face financial consequences for accuracy. For the Connecticut Republican primary, market odds reflect traders' collective assessment of electability and delegate math, not just raw voter sentiment. Comparing market prices to recent polls helps identify where the two signals agree or diverge, signaling potential shifts in the race dynamics.

The Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner market resolves on Aug 11, 2026, the date of the Republican primary election in Connecticut. Resolution is determined by the official primary results announced by the Connecticut Secretary of the State. The candidate who receives the most votes in the Republican primary and secures the party's nomination will be declared the winner. Once results are certified and confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Key catalysts for the Connecticut Republican primary include major endorsements from state party leaders, debate performances, fundraising announcements, and shifts in national Republican momentum. Candidate campaign events, media coverage, and voter outreach efforts in Connecticut will influence trader sentiment. Unexpected scandals, withdrawals by competing candidates, or changes in the national political environment could trigger sharp market repricing. Polling releases specific to Connecticut will also move odds as traders update their expectations. Monitor state political news and candidate activity closely for signals that may shift market probabilities before the Aug 11, 2026 primary election.