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Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
polymarket

What will be the margin of victory in the Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Volume:
$56,142

Weiser 10–15%

 - Polymarket

Weiser 10–15% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 3:24 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Weiser 10–15%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Yes
polymarket

Bennet <5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Weiser 5–10%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Weiser 15%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Weiser <5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Bennet 5–10%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Bennet 10–15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Bennet 15%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Polymarket

The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Colorado Democratic primary margin race dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this market, which centers on the winning margin in Colorado's Democratic gubernatorial primary. The dashboard displays current odds, 24-hour volume of $1,624, and total volume of $56,142 across all outcome categories. Traders use this data to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new polling, endorsements, and campaign developments emerge. The interface lets you compare different margin ranges and see which outcomes command the most trading activity, giving you a window into where informed prediction market participants are positioning their capital.

Prediction markets and traditional polls often diverge because they measure different things. Polls capture voter preference at a single moment, while prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from traders who have financial incentives to forecast accurately. In this market, odds may lead or lag behind published polling depending on whether traders believe polls underestimate or overestimate a candidate's true support. Historical data shows prediction markets frequently outperform polls in close races, though both tools have limitations. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and highlight which outcomes the betting public views as most likely versus what surveys suggest.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each margin outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative bets placed on it; higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction. As new information surfaces—campaign announcements, debate performances, or demographic shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens when volume is high and widens during quiet periods, so active trading hours typically offer better entry and exit prices for participants.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market. Major polling releases showing movement in candidate support often trigger immediate repricing as traders update their forecasts. Campaign events—endorsements from prominent figures, debate performances, or viral moments—can reshape perceptions of viability and momentum. Demographic data releases, voter registration trends, and turnout models also influence trader positioning. Media coverage highlighting candidate strengths or weaknesses may prompt reassessment. Finally, unexpected developments like candidate withdrawals or scandals can create sharp price swings. Traders monitor all these signals continuously, making this market a real-time barometer of how the race is evolving.