TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Phil Weiser
- Kalshi
Phil Weiser - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Jun 30, 9:58 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Michael Bennet will secure the Democratic Party nomination to run for Governor of Colorado in 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Bennet winning the nomination stands at 81.0%. Resolution is determined by the official Democratic Party nomination process for the 2026 Colorado Governorship. Watch for the state party convention and primary election results leading up to the November 2026 general election date, which will determine the final nominee.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified candidates wins the Democratic Party nomination for the 2026 Colorado Governorship. The nomination process follows standard Colorado Democratic Party procedures, and resolution occurs upon official confirmation of the party's nominee.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because markets incorporate trader expectations about late-breaking developments, campaign momentum, and delegate dynamics that polls may lag in capturing. While polls measure voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants continuously updating their views. The market-implied probability reflects not just current voter sentiment but also traders' assessments of nomination mechanics, party dynamics, and candidate electability. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in scenarios or shifts that public polling has not yet fully reflected.
The Colorado Democratic Governor nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the Democratic nomination process for Colorado's gubernatorial race. The market will settle based on which candidate is officially designated as the Democratic Party's nominee. Traders should monitor official party announcements, convention results, and state party communications for clarity on the final nominee. Once the nominee is officially confirmed, the market will resolve and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Key catalysts include major candidate endorsements from state party leaders, labor unions, and national Democratic figures; shifts in polling or internal campaign surveys; campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength; debate performances or public gaffes; and developments in the broader national political environment affecting candidate viability. Convention delegate counts, state party committee decisions, and candidate withdrawals or entries will significantly move odds. Media coverage of candidate momentum, scandals, or policy positions can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders should monitor Colorado Democratic Party communications, candidate campaign announcements, and national political news for signals that reshape the nomination landscape.
