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Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
polymarket

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

Volume:
$24,146

57-60%

 - Polymarket

57-60% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

57-60%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

54-57%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<48%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

51-54%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

48-51%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market on Polymarket tracks whether voter turnout in Colombia's first-round presidential election will fall within the 54-57% range, currently priced at 41.0%. The secondary outcome of 57-60% turnout carries a 34.9% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official turnout figures reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry, calculated as total votes cast divided by eligible voters. Watch the May 31, 2026 election results for the definitive turnout rate, which will settle this market according to Colombia's government data.

Polymarket

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round turnout outcome. It displays the current probability that voter turnout will fall below 48 percent, updated continuously as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard shows 24-hour volume of $2,983, total event volume of $24,146, and historical price movements. This allows you to monitor market sentiment on Colombian voter participation levels ahead of the 2026 first round.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution depends on official turnout figures released by Colombian electoral authorities following the first round of the presidential election. The outcome will be determined by whether the verified voter participation rate falls below 48 percent or meets or exceeds that threshold. Traders should monitor announcements from Colombia's electoral commission for final turnout data, as this will directly settle the contract.

Several factors could shift turnout expectations before the election. Changes in voter registration numbers, campaign momentum, or candidate withdrawals may alter participation forecasts. Security concerns, weather, or logistical issues on election day could suppress turnout. Polling releases showing shifting voter enthusiasm or demographic engagement will influence market pricing. International events or domestic political crises might affect voter motivation. Additionally, pre-election surveys specifically measuring turnout intent or historical comparisons to prior Colombian elections could prompt trader repositioning as new information emerges.