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Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 30?
polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 30?

Volume:
$604

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 30?

 - Polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 30? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 4:00 PM EST

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Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 30?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Coinbase stock price market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether COIN will close higher or lower on June 30. The interface displays current implied probabilities for each outcome, along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative liquidity across all positions. Traders use this data to monitor consensus sentiment on Coinbase's near-term direction and spot shifts in market conviction as new information emerges. The dashboard updates continuously as participants buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective forecast embedded in this market.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect COIN to do by the settlement date, whereas spot prices reflect only the current moment. This market aggregates dispersed information—earnings reports, regulatory news, crypto market sentiment—into a forward-looking probability. When bullish catalysts emerge, odds for an up move typically rise faster than the stock price itself, since traders are pricing in future moves. Comparing the implied odds here to traditional analyst price targets or options market skew can highlight where consensus diverges and identify potential mispricings.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling binary outcome shares—one for up, one for down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects its probability; if up shares trade at 0.65, the market implies a 65% chance COIN closes higher. Liquidity pools and order books determine how sharply prices move with each trade. As new information surfaces, traders adjust positions, and the market price converges toward the true probability. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the odds remain responsive to real-world developments right up until resolution.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether Coinbase's closing stock price on that date is higher or lower than its opening price. No intermediate trades or intraday fluctuations affect the outcome—only the final close matters. Once the settlement date passes and the closing price is established, the winning outcome is locked in and traders receive payouts accordingly.

Earnings announcements, regulatory developments, and shifts in cryptocurrency market sentiment are primary catalysts for this market. Positive news on Coinbase's user growth, trading volumes, or new product launches typically boost up odds, while regulatory crackdowns or macro headwinds can shift sentiment toward down. Broader crypto market rallies often lift COIN alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum, whereas risk-off sentiment in equities can pressure the stock. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, insider trading disclosures, and changes in Fed policy also influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps participants anticipate moves before they're fully priced in.