TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 17, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 17, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than periodic research updates. While equity analysts typically issue quarterly or event-driven forecasts with specific price levels, this market distills collective expectations into a binary outcome—up or down—reflecting what active traders believe will happen by the resolution date. Prediction markets can react faster to breaking news, earnings surprises, or regulatory developments, whereas analyst consensus tends to lag. Both sources offer value: analysts provide detailed fundamental reasoning, while market odds reveal where informed capital is actually positioned.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where the cost of buying "Up" or "Down" shares reflects the current probability implied by the order book. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome falls, creating a self-balancing system. Your entry price depends on the depth and direction of recent trades, and you can exit at any time by selling back to the liquidity pool. This continuous pricing model ensures transparent, real-time discovery of the market's consensus on COIN's direction.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, when the trading window closes and the final outcome is determined. The result is verified against credible public sources to confirm whether Coinbase's stock price closed higher or lower on that date. Once the close is confirmed and the outcome is official, positions are settled and traders receive payouts based on their holdings. The resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to observable market data available to all participants.
Key catalysts for this market include Coinbase earnings announcements, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency exchanges, macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite, and broader equity market volatility. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with COIN, since the company's revenue depends heavily on trading volumes and asset prices. SEC actions, congressional testimony, or changes in staking regulations could shift sentiment sharply. Competitor announcements, insider trading disclosures, or shifts in institutional adoption of crypto also influence trader positioning. Monitoring financial news and crypto-specific developments will help you anticipate directional moves before resolution.