TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 1, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on June 1, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down close for COIN on June 1. The price of each outcome reflects its implied probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. Traders profit by correctly predicting the direction; the winning outcome settles at 100 cents while the losing side expires at zero. Liquidity and spreads vary based on order book depth and trading volume throughout the event window.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the close of trading on June 1. The outcome is determined by whether COIN's closing price on that date is higher or lower than its opening price at market open. Resolution occurs once official price data is confirmed and the market operator settles all positions. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Early trading closes or market halts may affect final settlement timing.
Key catalysts for COIN movement include cryptocurrency market volatility, Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, Coinbase earnings surprises or guidance changes, and broader equities market sentiment. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve communications, and tech sector rotation can also influence trading. Company-specific news such as product launches, compliance updates, or executive changes may drive directional momentum. Intraday momentum and options expiration effects on June 1 itself could create final-hour volatility affecting the close.