TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Coca-Cola's point-of-sale growth for August 2026, focusing on whether sales metrics meet or exceed specific thresholds compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes reflect different levels of sales performance, from significant decline to notable growth. Data is sourced from a panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Coca-Cola's point-of-sale growth in August 2026, each corresponding to a different market outcome. All markets use the same underlying data source—Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel—which tracks year-over-year changes in sales by analyzing in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps. The index value represents the percentage change compared to August of the prior year, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. For all markets, the resolution is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The thresholds range from a decline of more than 11% to growth above 5%, allowing participants to assess various degrees of performance. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no affiliation with Coca-Cola, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by trader activity. While analysts may publish target growth rates based on models and historical data, this market reflects the aggregated bets of participants who react instantly to news, earnings reports, and consumer trends. This can sometimes lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official sales data releases from Coca-Cola or respected third-party financial trackers, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Key signals that could shift this market include weekly sales reports from Coca-Cola, unexpected changes in consumer demand due to promotions or seasonal trends, broader economic shifts affecting consumer spending, and any major news about supply chain disruptions or new product launches. Each of these can cause rapid re-pricing as traders update their expectations ahead of the final settlement date.