TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Clear+ members in Q2
kalshi

Clear+ members in Q2

Volume:
$82,321

Above 8.2 million

 - Kalshi

Above 8.2 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 10:47 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 8.2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,297
N/A
N/A
$8,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8.3 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,163
N/A
N/A
$4,400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8.4 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,630
N/A
N/A
$15,535
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.6 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,598
N/A
N/A
$5,422
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.8 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,365
N/A
N/A
$3,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.5 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,268
N/A
N/A
$2,186
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Clear Secure Inc. will report more than 8.2 million active Clear Plus members during the second quarter of 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 84.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by Clear Secure Inc.'s official Q2 2026 earnings report and membership disclosures. Watch for the company's quarterly earnings announcement on or around September 3, 2026, when Q2 membership figures will be publicly released.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on Clear Secure Inc.'s official Q2 2026 report of active Clear Plus members. Each threshold from 8.2 million through 8.8 million (in increments ranging from 100,000 to 200,000 members) constitutes a separate resolution point. The reported active Clear Plus members figure is compared against each threshold; if the reported figure exceeds a given threshold, that market resolves to Yes. All thresholds are evaluated independently based on the single reported active Clear Plus members figure.

Frequently asked questions

The Clear+ members in Q2 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Clear Secure Inc. will report above 8.8 million active Clear+ members in Q2 2026. The interface displays the current probability of the affirmative outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $22,566. This data helps traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity as the resolution date approaches, providing transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing membership growth expectations for the company.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader expectations about Clear+ membership levels, while analyst forecasts typically rely on historical growth trends, company guidance, and industry reports. Prediction markets aggregate distributed information from many participants with financial incentives to be accurate, whereas analyst estimates may lag market developments or reflect institutional biases. Comparing the current market probability against published analyst consensus can reveal whether traders expect membership growth to exceed or fall short of professional expectations, highlighting areas of agreement or divergence in growth outlook.

The Clear+ members in Q2 market resolves on Sep 3, 2026. Resolution depends on Clear Secure Inc.'s official Q2 2026 financial disclosures and membership reports. The market will settle affirmatively if reported active Clear+ members exceed 8.8 million, or negatively if they fall at or below that threshold. Traders should monitor company earnings announcements, investor presentations, and regulatory filings as the resolution date approaches to track actual membership figures and adjust positions accordingly.

Key catalysts for Clear+ members in Q2 include Clear Secure's quarterly earnings reports, management guidance on membership growth, changes in airport partnerships or expansion announcements, competitive pressures from rival identity verification services, and macroeconomic factors affecting travel demand. Regulatory developments affecting airport security or biometric screening could also influence adoption. Additionally, marketing campaigns, pricing changes, and integration with new travel platforms may drive membership acquisition. Traders should track company press releases, industry news, and travel trends to anticipate movements in market pricing ahead of Q2 resolution.