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Claude App Downloads in August
kalshi

What will be the number of Claude app downloads in August?

Volume:
$52,269

Above 1600

 - Kalshi

Above 1600 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,161
N/A
N/A
$4,761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,051
N/A
N/A
$3,517
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,410
N/A
N/A
$4,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,375
N/A
N/A
$3,157
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,286
N/A
N/A
$2,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,730
N/A
N/A
$2,688
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,180
N/A
N/A
$1,780
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

The market assesses whether the number of downloads for the Claude app in August 2026 exceeds various thresholds. It reflects expectations about user adoption and growth for the app during that specific month.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc reported Claude App Downloads for August 2026. The market settles based on the first reported value, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded. The index measures year-over-year changes, where 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month last year, with higher values showing growth and lower values indicating decline. Kalshi clarifies it has no official connection to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard displays the current odds and price history for the Claude App downloads market, along with 24-hour volume of $2,061. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for August, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity as the month progresses toward resolution on Sep 14, 2026.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for app performance. While analysts may incorporate broader trends and historical data, traders in this market react quickly to news, user sentiment shifts, and early adoption rates, sometimes showing higher or lower confidence than traditional forecasts.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will depend on officially reported download figures for the relevant period, closing the market based on verifiable data.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 14, 2026. Key catalysts include official announcements from the app developer about updates or marketing campaigns, changes in user acquisition strategies, competitor releases that affect download trends, and broader tech industry news impacting consumer behavior. Any surprise surge in media coverage or viral moments could also sway trader sentiment and pricing on Kalshi as the August period unfolds.