TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election in South Korea. On Polymarket, Park Soo-hyun holds 100.0% probability of winning, while Kim Tae-heum stands at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official results announced by South Korea's National Election Commission. Watch for the election results on June 3, 2026, when South Korean voters will decide the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign developments, and insider sentiment that surveys may lag. While polls capture voter preference at a single moment, markets continuously reprice based on breaking news, endorsements, and fundraising. For the Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial race, market odds reflect accumulated bets totaling $1,999,328, suggesting traders may be weighting factors—such as local political dynamics or candidate momentum—differently than pollsters. Comparing the two reveals where market participants see edges that public surveys miss.
The Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 3, 2026, following the official gubernatorial election in Chungcheongnam Province. Resolution is determined by the official election results announced by South Korean electoral authorities. The candidate who receives the most votes and is declared the winner by the relevant government body will trigger the corresponding outcome to resolve to yes, while all other candidate outcomes resolve to no. Market participants should monitor official announcements and news sources as the election date approaches.
Key catalysts for price movement include major campaign announcements, candidate endorsements from influential political figures, and regional economic developments affecting voter priorities. Debate performances, scandals, or policy proposals can shift trader expectations rapidly. Polling releases and internal campaign data leaks often trigger repricing on Polymarket. Local issues—such as infrastructure projects, environmental concerns, or administrative decisions—may sway sentiment in Chungcheongnam Province specifically. As Jun 3, 2026 approaches, early voting results and turnout forecasts typically drive significant volume and volatility. Media coverage and social media momentum can also influence market pricing as traders adjust their positions.