TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election in South Korea. On Polymarket, Shin Yong-han holds a leading probability of 91.6%, while Kim Young-hwan stands at 8.3%. Resolution will be determined by the official results from South Korea's National Election Commission following the June 3, 2026 election date. Watch for campaign developments and polling shifts in the months leading up to the scheduled June 3, 2026 vote, which will ultimately determine the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling due to different information sets and incentive structures. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from traders who profit by accurately forecasting outcomes. For the Chungcheongbuk governor race, market participants may weight recent campaign momentum, endorsements, and regional dynamics differently than pollsters. Comparing market odds to published polls reveals whether traders expect shifts in voter preference before the Jun 3, 2026 election.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, following the official Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes and is officially declared the winner by South Korean electoral authorities. Until that date, odds will continue to shift based on campaign activity, candidate statements, regional events, and any polling updates. Traders monitor developments closely to adjust positions ahead of the final outcome.
Key catalysts include campaign announcements, candidate debates, endorsements from national party leaders, and regional economic or policy announcements affecting Chungcheongbuk voters. Published polls showing shifts in voter preference can trigger sharp price movements as traders reassess probabilities. Scandals, gaffes, or major policy proposals by candidates may also influence market odds. Media coverage of the race and turnout expectations in the province will shape trader sentiment. Any changes to the candidate slate or unexpected political developments could significantly alter market pricing before Jun 3, 2026.