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Chipotle Monthly Foot Traffic in August
kalshi

What is the change in Chipotle's foot traffic in August?

Volume:
$12,418

Above 103

 - Kalshi

Above 103 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$864
N/A
N/A
$864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
$466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,512
N/A
N/A
$1,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,482
N/A
N/A
$1,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,241
N/A
N/A
$988
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,105
N/A
N/A
$654
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 111

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 112

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks year-over-year changes in customer visits to Chipotle restaurants during August 2026, using a statistical index where 100 represents equal traffic compared to the same month in the previous year. Higher values indicate increased foot traffic, while lower values suggest a decline. The data is sourced from mobile location tracking and adjusted for seasonal variations.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Chipotle Monthly Foot Traffic index for August 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 100 to 112) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any corrections or revisions made after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

The Chipotle foot traffic market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Chipotle foot traffic market, alongside 24-hour volume of $121. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around expected customer traffic at Chipotle locations during August, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and trading activity as the resolution date approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of upcoming foot traffic trends. While analysts may rely on historical data and seasonal patterns, traders adjust positions based on real-time news, weather forecasts, and economic indicators. This can lead to divergence, especially ahead of major events or unexpected disruptions that influence consumer behavior.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the current probability. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects aggregated bets from all participants, with liquidity indicated by volume of $12,418. Prices shift rapidly in response to new information, offering a transparent, market-driven mechanism for forecasting August foot traffic.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released foot traffic data for Chipotle’s August period, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with observable, public metrics.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution, including local weather patterns, national holidays, economic announcements affecting consumer spending, and any public health developments. Additionally, media coverage of Chipotle promotions or supply-chain updates may shift trader sentiment. Any unexpected events impacting dining habits — such as a widespread service disruption or a viral social media trend — could also cause rapid price adjustments.