TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$22,964

Above 105

 - Kalshi

Above 105 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:12 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,666
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,233
N/A
N/A
$2,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,664
N/A
N/A
$393
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99.5

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,603
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104.5

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100.5

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,395
N/A
N/A
$613
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,237
N/A
N/A
$606
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$950
N/A
N/A
$266
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 89

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 91

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 92

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

The markets assess whether Chipotle's credit card spending in August 2026 will exceed various thresholds, reflecting year-over-year changes in customer traffic at U.S. locations. The data, sourced from Carbon Arc, tracks mobile location patterns adjusted for seasonal factors, providing a snapshot of consumer behavior compared to the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 99, above 99.5, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index value for August 2026 exceeds that threshold. The resolution is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the month, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. The data is derived from mobile location tracking across over 200 million devices, normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays, and updated daily.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Chipotle August spending market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this prediction, alongside daily and 24-hour volume of $56. It provides a live view of how traders on Kalshi are pricing expectations for Chipotle's credit card spend during August, updated continuously as new bets are placed.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official Chipotle financial disclosures or reputable news sources that confirm the actual credit card spend figures for August, ending all trading activity and fixing the market result.

Key signals that could shift this market include Chipotle's quarterly earnings releases, same-store sales reports, changes in consumer spending patterns due to economic factors, and any major marketing campaigns or promotions the company announces. Unexpected news such as supply chain disruptions or executive changes may also influence trader sentiment and price movement before resolution.