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Economics
Chipotle chicken burrito price in August 2026
kalshi

What will the Chipotle chicken burrito price be in August 2026?

Volume:
$35,132

At least $9.80

 - Kalshi

At least $9.80 - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:51 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least $9.80

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,221
N/A
N/A
$3,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $9.81

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,580
N/A
N/A
$3,071
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $9.78

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,694
N/A
N/A
$2,269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $9.79

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,392
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $9.77

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $9.82

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,116
N/A
N/A
$2,947
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks how consumer prices for a specific menu item at a popular fast-food chain might shift over time. It uses publicly reported pricing data to assess potential cost changes influenced by factors like inflation, supply chain dynamics, and operational adjustments. The outcome depends on whether the average price meets or exceeds specified thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event assess whether the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito in August 2026 meets or exceeds a specific dollar threshold, ranging from $9.77 to $9.82. The resolving data source for each market is the first August 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Chipotle Chicken Burrito Price” / “Price (USD)”. Any corrections or revisions to this data after market settlement will not impact the outcome. These markets are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement by Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. or any affiliation between the company and the platform hosting the markets. The structure allows participants to speculate on incremental price increases within a narrow band, with each threshold representing a distinct market outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may publish price projections based on economic models, cost trends, and consumer behavior, while traders adjust odds based on real-time data, news, and sentiment. This creates a dynamic comparison where market prices can diverge from or align with institutional outlooks depending on emerging factors.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, and $35,132 reflects overall participation. The system updates odds based on order flow, allowing participants to hedge or speculate on the burrito price direction as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of a standard chicken burrito at Chipotle will be checked against reliable sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution aligned with the market’s terms.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including changes in food commodity prices, Chipotle’s menu adjustments, inflation reports, or consumer demand trends. Earnings announcements, marketing campaigns, or supply chain updates may also influence trader sentiment. Any major economic shift or company-specific news is likely to create volatility in pricing expectations.