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Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in September
kalshi

What will the average US wholesale price be?

Volume:
$16,681

Above 110¢ per pound

 - Kalshi

Above 110¢ per pound - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 2:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 110¢ per pound

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,831
N/A
N/A
$1,428
3d 2h 35m
Yes
kalshi

Above 105¢ per pound

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,556
N/A
N/A
$1,546
3d 2h 35m
Yes
kalshi

Above 130¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,833
N/A
N/A
$3,627
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 125¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,438
N/A
N/A
$3,419
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 115¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,637
N/A
N/A
$2,347
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 120¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,833
N/A
N/A
$1,800
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 140¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$677
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 135¢ per pound

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$426
3d 2h 35m
No
kalshi

Above 90¢ per pound

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 35m
Yes
kalshi

Above 95¢ per pound

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 35m
Yes
kalshi

Above 100¢ per pound

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 35m
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the average wholesale price of whole chicken wings in the U.S. during September 2026. The outcome depends on whether this price exceeds various thresholds, reflecting market expectations about supply, demand, and economic factors affecting poultry pricing that month.

Kalshi

The event determines if the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in September 2026 exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 90¢ to 140¢ per pound. The average is calculated as the arithmetic mean of the “Wtd Avg” values initially published for “Wings – Whole” in each USDA Weekly National Chicken Report whose “Report For” period ends during September 2026. The relevant figure is found under “Chicken, Parts – Domestic – Fresh – Conventional – FOB,” in the “Current Week’s Trading” columns, reported in cents per pound. Each qualifying weekly value is weighted equally; the “1,000 lbs” figures are not used to reweight observations. No rounding is applied to the calculated average before comparison with the strike prices. If USDA does not publish a report for a particular week, no value is imputed, and the calculation uses all published qualifying values. Initially published values are used exclusively, regardless of any later revisions, corrections, or updates.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the chicken wing price market tracks the current prices, the 24-hour trading volume of $917, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $16,681. You can also see a price history chart to understand how expectations around the average US wholesale price of chicken wings in September have changed over time. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of activity and price discovery.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for the average US wholesale price of chicken wings in September. However, traditional forecasting methods often rely on historical data and economic models, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. If analyst predictions consistently overestimate or underestimate the actual price, as determined by this market, it could suggest limitations in those traditional approaches. It’s important to remember that prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information, including qualitative factors and real-time events.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price reflects the highest buy order and the lowest sell order. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, representing the market's current expectation of the average US wholesale price of chicken wings in September. The platform's order book displays all outstanding buy and sell orders, providing transparency into market depth and liquidity. Traders can analyze this information to make informed trading decisions.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average US wholesale price of chicken wings in September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a reputable data source that tracks wholesale prices for chicken wings. This data will be used to determine which traders correctly predicted the outcome and are eligible for payouts. The market's resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome based on publicly available information.

Several factors could influence the price in this market. Unexpected changes in chicken feed costs, outbreaks of avian flu impacting supply, or shifts in consumer demand for chicken wings could all move the market. Economic indicators, such as inflation rates and overall consumer spending, might also play a role. Furthermore, any news related to major chicken producers or disruptions in the supply chain could significantly impact expectations about the September wholesale price. Monitoring these events will be crucial for anyone trading in this market.