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404,028

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2,681

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Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

What is the projected U.S. Chick-fil-A store visit index for August?

Volume:
$17,025

Above 110

 - Kalshi

Above 110 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 12:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,275
N/A
N/A
$2,571
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 111

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,796
N/A
N/A
$1,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,425
N/A
N/A
$1,579
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
$927
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$670
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets track projected year-over-year changes in U.S. Chick-fil-A store visits for August 2026, using a specialized index that compares mobile location data from the same calendar days, adjusted for seasonal factors. Higher index values signify increased consumer traffic compared to the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets share identical secondary rules and measurement methodology, using Carbon Arc's mobile location data index to track year-over-year U.S. store visits for Chick-fil-A in August 2026. The index, based on data from over 200 million devices, normalizes for seasonality, weather, and holidays, and values above 100 indicate growth relative to the prior year. Settlement for all markets depends solely on the first reported value for August 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 101 to 111) that determines resolution: if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chick-fil-A August spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for the month, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction.

On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment about consumer behavior at Chick-fil-A during August. Analyst forecasts from financial institutions and retail experts often focus on broader economic trends affecting restaurant spending. These forecasts may differ from the granular, real-time pricing seen here, as analysts incorporate macroeconomic indicators while market participants react to immediate data points and sentiment shifts. The contrast offers a useful comparison between long-term projections and short-term market expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially published spending data for the August period, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with observable economic indicators.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves around Sep 14, 2026. Key economic reports on consumer confidence, disposable income trends, and inflation data may alter expectations for dining-out spending. Major news events such as holidays, public health updates, or changes in Chick-fil-A operations could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected shifts in fuel prices or broader retail performance may influence how participants price the likelihood of higher or lower credit card spend during August.